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<document xmlns="http://cnx.rice.edu/cnxml" xmlns:md="http://cnx.rice.edu/mdml/0.4" xmlns:bib="http://bibtexml.sf.net/" xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="new">
  <name>Linear Regression and Correlation: Prediction</name>
  <metadata>
  <md:version>1.5</md:version>
  <md:created>2008/06/23 16:50:21 GMT-5</md:created>
  <md:revised>2008/07/15 13:55:22.098 GMT-5</md:revised>
  <md:authorlist>
      <md:author id="billowsky">
      <md:firstname>Barbara</md:firstname>
      
      <md:surname>Illowsky</md:surname>
      <md:email>illowskybarbara@deanza.edu</md:email>
    </md:author>
      <md:author id="sdean">
      <md:firstname>Susan</md:firstname>
      
      <md:surname>Dean</md:surname>
      <md:email>deansusan@deanza.edu</md:email>
    </md:author>
  </md:authorlist>

  <md:maintainerlist>
    <md:maintainer id="cnxorg">
      <md:firstname/>
      
      <md:surname>Connexions</md:surname>
      <md:email>cnx@cnx.org</md:email>
    </md:maintainer>
  </md:maintainerlist>
  
  <md:keywordlist>
    <md:keyword>elementary</md:keyword>
    <md:keyword>statistics</md:keyword>
  </md:keywordlist>

  <md:abstract>This module provides an overview of Linear Regression and Correlation: Prediction
Up one level as a part of Collaborative Statistics collection (col10522) by Barbara Illowsky and Susan Dean.</md:abstract>
</metadata>
  <content>
    <para id="element-12498">The exam scores <emphasis>(<m:math><m:mi>x</m:mi></m:math>-values)</emphasis> range from 65 to 75. Suppose you want to know the final
exam score of statistics students who received 73 on the third exam. <emphasis>Since 73 is between
the <m:math><m:mi>x</m:mi></m:math>-values 65 and 75</emphasis>, substitute <m:math><m:mi>x</m:mi><m:mo>=</m:mo><m:mn>73</m:mn></m:math> into the equation. Then:
</para><equation id="element-735"><m:math>
<m:mover>
<m:mi>y</m:mi>
<m:mo>^</m:mo>
</m:mover>
<m:mo>=</m:mo>
<m:mn>-173.51</m:mn>
<m:mo>+</m:mo>
<m:mn>4.83</m:mn>
<m:mo>(</m:mo>
<m:mn>73</m:mn>
<m:mo>)</m:mo>
<m:mo>=</m:mo>
<m:mn>179.08</m:mn>
</m:math>
</equation><para id="element-212">We predict that a statistics student who receives a 73 on the third exam will receive 179.08 on
the final exam. <emphasis>Remember, do not use the regression equation to predict values outside
the domain of <m:math><m:mi>x</m:mi></m:math>.</emphasis></para><example id="element-438"><para id="element-546">Recall the <cnxn document="m17092" target="element-22">third exam/final exam example</cnxn>.
</para><exercise id="element-770"><problem>
  <para id="element-464">
    What would you predict the final exam score to be for a student who scored a 66 on the third exam?
  </para>
</problem>

<solution>
  <para id="element-444">
    145.27
  </para>
</solution>
</exercise><exercise id="element-844"><?solution_in_back?>
<problem>
  <para id="element-306">
    What would you predict the final exam score to be for a student who scored a 78 on the third exam?
  </para>
</problem>

<solution>
  <para id="element-380">
78 is outside of the domain of x values (independent variables), so you cannot reliably predict the final exam score for this student.
  </para>
</solution>
</exercise>
</example>   
  </content>
  
</document>
