Inside Collection (Textbook): Topics in Applied Probability
Summary: A general pattern for costs with price breaks is set up and an application is made in the case demand D has a Poisson distribution.
Let D be the demand random variable. Suppose there is
Then (see figure)
Special Case. If D is Poisson
As an alternate approach, we approximate D by an appropriate number of values.
A residential College is planning a camping trip over Spring Recess. The number D of persons planning to go is assumed to be Poisson (15). Arrangements for transportation and food have been made as follows:
Thus,
mu = 15;
% Part (a)
EG = 450 + 100*mu*cpoisson(mu,3) - 20*mu*cpoisson(mu,18)...
- 400*cpoisson(mu,4) + 380*cpoisson(mu,19)
EG = 1.5433e+03
% Part (b)
t = 0:40;
M1 = t >= 4;
M2 = t >= 19;
G = 450 + 100*M1.*(t - 4) - 20*M2.*(t - 19);
PD = ipoisson(mu,t);
EGa = dot(G,PD)
EGa = 1.5433e+03
P1000 = dot(G >= 1000,PD)
P1000 = 0.9301
P1500 = dot(G >= 1500,PD)
P1500 = 0.5343
P2000 = dot(G >= 2000,PD)
P2000 = 0.1248
P2500 = dot(G >= 2500,PD)
P2500 = 0.0062