In their studies of students who made the decision to drop out of high school, researchers have examined extensive demographic information and have identified several characteristics that dropouts often demonstrate (Rumberger, 1987). Several indicators of potential school dropouts have included low socioeconomic backgrounds, single-parent families, and parents or siblings who were dropouts (Fernandez & Velez, 1989; Hartnagel & Krahn, 1989; Norwood, 1989; Rumberger, 1983). Of these indicators, Rumberger (1987) concluded that socioeconomic status was the most important factor in predicting dropouts.
Educators often are faced with the challenges of educating children living in poverty (U.S. Department of Education, 2002). Students living in poverty often have experienced physical and emotional handicaps, lack of health care, poor nutrition, difficult family conditions, and inner city neighborhoods (Dubow & Luster, 1990). “Home is the most unequal environment in education, and school should be an arena of equity” (Conrath, 2001, p. 82). Students who live in poverty are rarely enrolled in advanced placement classes; conversely, students of wealth are rarely served in at-risk programs. Conrath stated, “Of all the measurable differences between successful and unsuccessful students, in my experience, family income trumps all others” (p. 82).
In addition to poverty, Westheimer, Kahne, and Gerstein (1992) identified two external factors related to the student at-risk of leaving school prematurely: poor attendance and low self-esteem. They cited non-attendance as the most prominent behavioral outcome related to the academic deficiency of these students (Westheimer et al., 1992). Truancy is the act of being unlawfully absent from school (Hale, 1991). Often, students who skip school fall behind in their schoolwork and eventually drop out of school (Martin, Tobin, & Sugai, 2002). Kronick and Hargis (1990) stated that delinquency and truancy were responses to the adolescent’s perceived failure to satisfy social and emotional needs or to achieve a meaningful position within a social context, such as the school. Wood (1991) suggested that students were more likely to attend school if they believed that attending school would satisfy their immediate needs or benefit them in the future.
A primary measurement of school success is attendance. Those students who have problems with truancy are more likely to drop out than are other students (McLaughlin, 1990). Chronic truancy has been documented as a sign of a student disengaging from the learning process and being on the verge of dropping out of school. Attendance could be a good indicator of a student’s motivation and interest in school (Hale, 1991). Truant students demonstrated a lack of commitment to learn because they have not been motivated to attend school on a regular basis. Also, truant students have faced low self-confidence in their ability to succeed in school because their absences have caused them to fall behind their classmates.
Bridgeland, Dilulio, and Morison (2006) reported in a 2006 study that persons who fail to graduate from high school had continual patterns of refusing to wake up to attend school, taking extended lunch breaks, and consistently skipping class. Students reported that each absence made them more unwilling to go back to school. Of the students interviewed, 59% to 65% admitted that they dropped out because they felt they could not catch up with their classmates (Bridgeland et al., 2006).
When compared to academic performance or discipline issues, absenteeism was the highest predictor of course failure (Bridgeland et al., 2006). Absenteeism dramatically increased the likelihood that truant students would drop out of school. Teachers were limited in the amount of attention they could provide to help chronically absent students catch up on the work they had missed. Therefore, students declined in their academic performance and began to view school in a negative light. As a result, students found dropping out easier than catching up (DeKalb, 2003).
Another issue relevant to at-risk students is self-concept. Self-concept develops as people evaluate how they behave in certain situations and how others respond to that behavior. If the behavior and feedback are consistent over time, individuals internalize these behaviors as part of their self (Bracken, 1992). The development of self-concept requires attention to one’s behavior, the specific environment, and the responses one’s behavior evokes in other people. As a child develops, self-concept changes. Greater differentiation of self-concept occurs with age (Crain & Bracken, 1994), and these different domains appear to be influenced by the environment (Cauce, 1987). Marsh (1989) reported that children experience a higher level of self-concept in Grade 6, a drop in Grades 8 through 9, and an increase in Grades 10 through 11 and into young adulthood.
Examining self-concept was important when looking at the characteristics of students at-risk of dropping out of school. Marsh (1990) examined self-concept profiles of adolescents suspended from high school using the Self-Description Questionnaire-II. Marsh determined that the questionnaire categories of Physical Appearance, Opposite-Sex Relationships, Honesty, and Trustworthiness were in the average range for the suspended students. However, Parent Relationships, General Self, and General School Self-Concepts were low for both males and females. Girls’ self-concepts were low for Same-Sex Relationships and Emotional Stability. When examining self-esteem, locus of control, and engagement in at-risk African American and Hispanic students, gender and ethnic differences were present only for self-esteem, with male students having higher average self-esteem than Hispanic students (Finn & Rock, 1997).
The Intercultural Development Research Association’s (2006) attrition study reported that 137,000 Texas students, or 35% of the freshman class of 2002–2003, left school before graduating in the 2005–2006 school year. In the last 20 years, the gap in the holding power of students of various racial and ethnic backgrounds has widened, with attrition rates increasing for Hispanic students and Black students, at the same time decreasing for White students (IDRA).
Researchers have identified educational experiences as the best predictors of dropping out—better than race, poverty, age, gender, and personal circumstances. Although educators often believe dropping out of school to be driven by personal and family circumstances unrelated to schooling, most dropouts exhibit highly predictive educational warning signs (Roderick, 1993). For example, a federal survey revealed that dropouts were twice as likely to cite school-related reasons over family or work-related reasons for leaving school (Berktold, Geis, & Kaufman, 1998), something that held true for all demographic subgroups (Jordan, Lara, & McPartland, 1999).
When young people make the decision to not graduate from high school, they and American society as a whole, face various negative consequences. Simon (1960) proposed a three-phase model of decision processes to describe this decision-making process. These three phases were termed as Intelligence, Design, and Choice. Simon’s Model of the Decision Process Intelligence, which was borrowed from and based upon the military meaning of the same word, involves identifying the need for a decision or searching the environment. This phase describes what happens as students begin to fear that they are not being successful and have little hope of completing their diploma. Simon described that once the environment has been searched and the need for a decision identified, the design phase begins. This phase involves investigating and developing the problem domain and alternatives. Potential dropouts also begin to pursue their alternatives to dropping out which might include the General Education Development certificate (GED) or alternative approaches to schooling. Simon’s final phase is that of Choice, which describes the activity of selecting the most appropriate course of action from the alternatives previously generated. The Choice phase can be related to the point at which students make the decision to drop out, which leads to serious consequences for the student and for society.