Since
the Kramers-Moyal equations, forward and backward, don't truncate, in
general neither exactly nor approximately, they are not of much use in
the case of the jump Markov processes. The master equations, on the
other hand, are differential-integral equations that at least can be
written in a compact form and that are tractable numerically. Yet,
surprisingly perhaps, both Kramers-Moyal and master equations derive
from the same
Chapman-Kolmogorov
equations, that are in
essence differential-integral equations too. We arrive at
Kramers-Moyal equations by expanding the function in the
Chapman-Kolmogorov integral in the Taylor series and replacing the
resulting infinite series of integrals with an infinite series in
which the integrals are merely encapsulated in ΠnΠn:
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
x
'
n
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
d
x
'
=
Π
n
(
x
,
t
)
.
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
x
'
n
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
d
x
'
=
Π
n
(
x
,
t
)
.
(79)This therefore is a renaming exercise, with the basic problem
just swept under the carpet. Little wonder then that for the jump
Markov processes it has crawled out to haunt us.
Let us return then to the starting point, to the Chapman-Kolmogorov
equation. We commence with the forward one
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
(80)What this equation says is as follows.
We have a system that transits from (x0,t0)(x0,t0) to (x,t+Δt)(x,t+Δt).
We posit that at time tt the system must pass through somex-x'x-x'
on its way to xx, and that
therefore its trajectory is
from
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
through
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
to
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
.
from
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
through
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
to
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
.
(81)For any givenx-x'x-x', the probability of reaching (x,t+Δt)(x,t+Δt) through
(x-x',t)(x-x',t) from (x0,t0)(x0,t0) is
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(82)But as x'x' may run all over Ω(x')Ω(x'), that is, the process may
transfer through x-x1'∈Ωx-x1'∈Ωor through x-x2'∈Ωx-x2'∈Ωor through x-x3'∈Ωx-x3'∈Ω...... and so
on, on its way to xx, the or logic operators translate into
the addition of the related probabilities, so we need to sum Equation 82 over all possible x'x's, which
is how we arrive at the integral in Equation 80.
This is quite similar to how quantum mechanics is constructed by the
means of Feynman path integrals, but here we sum over probabilities,
whereas in the Feynman method we sum over probability
amplitudes. Otherwise the resulting mathematics and methodology are
really similar. Why it is the probability amplitudes that we sum in
quantum physics instead of probabilities themselves, as the
conventional logic might dictate, is the central, unexplained puzzle
of the quantum world.
Looking at the forward Chapman-Kolmogorov equation we may think that
it implies a certain continuity of the system's evolution on its way
from x0x0 at t0t0 to xx at t+Δtt+Δt and we may ask how this
is compatible with the idea of a jump Markov process. But jump Markov
processes are still described by Equation 80. If a jump is to occur
from x0x0 to x-x1'x-x1' then we may find that most P(x-x',t)|(x0,t0)P(x-x',t)|(x0,t0) are zero, with the exception of
P(x-x1',t)|(x0,t0)P(x-x1',t)|(x0,t0), where PP
itself spikes in the form of the Dirac delta. PP may assume the form
of multiple spikes scattered over Ω(x')Ω(x') with different weights
for each location x-xi'x-xi'. The Chapman-Kolmogorov equation then
says that the probability of the system transiting from x0x0 at t0t0
to xx at t+Δtt+Δt is a sum of probabilities that correspond to
jumps from x0x0 to x-xi'x-xi' times probabilities of jumps from x-xi'x-xi' to xx:
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∑
i
=
1
n
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
i
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
i
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∑
i
=
1
n
P
(
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
i
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
i
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(83)But what, we may ask next, if the system is such that it stays put
between tt and t0t0 and doesn't jump at all, and then only it jumps
directly to xx at t+Δtt+Δt? In this case, the probability
P(x-x',t)|(x0,t0)P(x-x',t)|(x0,t0) would be
δ(x')δ(x'). The point is that the system must be somewhere at tt,
whether the jump has occurred or not. The formalism of Markov
processes assumes a continuous existence of the system in time,
whereas it may jump in space or move in some other way amenable to
stochastic analysis.
Let us get back to the Chapman-Kolmogorov
Equation 80. We can reformulate
it also as follows
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
(84)This equation says something similar
to Equation 80.
It says that on its way from x0x0 at t0t0 to xx at tt
the system passes through some x0+x'x0+x' at t0+Δt0t0+Δt0, where
x'x' can be any x'x' in ΩΩ. The probability of getting from x0x0 to
xx should therefore be a sum of probabilities of passing through
x0+x'x0+x' at t0+Δt0t0+Δt0 on the way, which are
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(85)Now we are going to shrink ΔtΔt and Δt0Δt0 in both
equations to dtdt and dt0dt0 and make use of
the fact that in this limit the relevant probabilities also shrink to
the propagator density, namely
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
=
P
(
x
+
x
'
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
,
t
)
.
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
=
P
(
x
+
x
'
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
,
t
)
.
(86)We apply this to Equation 80
first replacing the PP term with ΔtΔt under the integral:
P
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
→
Δ
t
→
d
t
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
.
P
x
,
t
+
Δ
t
)
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
→
Δ
t
→
d
t
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
.
(87)Similarly we replace the Δt0Δt0 term in
Equation 84:
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
→
Δ
t
0
→
d
t
0
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
P
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
Δ
t
0
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
→
Δ
t
0
→
d
t
0
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(88)This yields two equivalent though differently expressed equations
P
(
x
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
P
(
x
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
(89)and
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
(90)Now, we do not intend to subtract Equation 90
from Equation 89 to form the time derivative, because
one has dtdt in it whereas the other one has dt0dt0,
so this wouldn't work. Instead we'll use Equation 89
to form the forward master equation and we'll use
Equation 90 later to form the backward
master equation.
We'll do this by substituting the equation
for the jump propagator in place of ΠΠ in both,
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
=
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
δ
(
x
'
)
.
Π
x
'
|
d
t
|
(
x
,
t
)
=
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
δ
(
x
'
)
.
(91)The substitution converts Equation 89 to
P
(
x
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
δ
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
+
1
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
,
P
(
x
,
t
+
d
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
δ
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
d
t
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
+
1
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
d
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
,
(92)because the delta in the second summand has killed the x'x'.
Let us observe that there is a stand-alone P(x,t)|(x0,t0)P(x,t)|(x0,t0)
in Equation 92. So, we simply subtract
P(x,t)|(x0,t0)P(x,t)|(x0,t0) from both sides of
Equation 92, which reduces the second summand to -aP-aP term only.
Then we divide
both sides by dtdt and obtain
the forward master equation for the jump Markov process,
∂
∂
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
∂
∂
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
-
a
(
x
,
t
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(93)Remembering that a(x,t)wx'|(x,t)a(x,t)wx'|(x,t)
is the consolidated characterizing function of the jump Markov process,Wx'|(x,t)Wx'|(x,t), and that
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
w
-
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
d
x
'
=
1
,
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
w
-
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
d
x
'
=
1
,
(94)(it also holds for +x'+x', but in this case it is customary to use
-x'-x' instead)
lets us rewrite Equation 93 as
∂
∂
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
W
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
-
W
-
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
∂
∂
t
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
W
x
'
|
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
P
(
x
-
x
'
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
-
W
-
x
'
|
(
x
,
t
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
(95)Now we return to Equation 90 and substitute
Equation 91 in place of ΠΠ:
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
δ
x
'
d
x
'
=
d
t
0
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
+
1
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
.
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
Π
x
'
|
d
t
0
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
+
1
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
δ
x
'
d
x
'
=
d
t
0
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
+
1
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
+
d
t
0
)
.
(96)We notice there is a pure P(x,t)|(x0,t0+dt0)P(x,t)|(x0,t0+dt0)
term in the second summand. We move this term to the left side of the equation, divide both
sides by dt0dt0 and take the limit dt0→0dt0→0, which yields
the backward master equation for the jump Markov process,
-
∂
∂
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
-
∂
∂
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
w
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
-
a
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
.
(97)Again, making use of the normalization condition given by
Equation 94, but this time
with +x'+x', we can rewrite the above equation in terms of the consolidated
characterizing function of the jump Markov process as follows:
-
∂
∂
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
W
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
)
-
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
-
∂
∂
t
0
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
=
∫
Ω
(
x
'
)
W
x
'
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
+
x
'
,
t
0
)
-
P
(
x
,
t
)
|
(
x
0
,
t
0
)
d
x
'
.
(98)